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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18

Eibar

EIB

Sporting Gijón

SPO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eibar43%
Draw29%
Sporting Gijón29%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.10

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–012.0%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sporting Gijón will have the ball; Eibar will not mind.

30%Possession55%
30%Territory40%
2%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.14
9.8%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eibar, 3 for Sporting Gijón. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.