LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Eibar
EIB
Sporting Gijón
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eibar37%
Draw26%
Sporting Gijón37%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.53
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession51%
41%Territory39%
28%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eibar, 3 for Sporting Gijón. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eibar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.