LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Córdoba
CRD
Castellón
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Córdoba22%
Draw20%
Castellón58%
Expected goals
1.51 – 2.41
Over 2.5
74%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.8%
- 1–17.5%
- 1–36.9%
- 2–26.5%
- 0–25.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Córdoba get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
60%Possession60%
39%Territory46%
37%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.3%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Córdoba, 3 for Castellón. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.