LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Córdoba
CRD
Castellón
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Córdoba26%
Draw24%
Castellón50%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.81
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–18.9%
- 0–27.3%
- 2–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession57%
37%Territory41%
24%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.14
6.5%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Córdoba, 3 for Castellón. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Córdoba
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.