LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Cádiz
CDI
Sabadell
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cádiz39%
Draw26%
Sabadell35%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.47
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.1%
- 1–08.0%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession43%
31%Territory41%
24%From set plays14%
0.16Chance quality0.13
4.5%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cádiz, 3 for Sabadell. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.