LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Almería
ALM
Albacete
ALB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Almería58%
Draw24%
Albacete18%
Expected goals
1.84 – 0.96
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Albacete get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession40%
26%Territory37%
19%From set plays38%
0.14Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Almería, 3 for Albacete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.