LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Almería
ALM
Albacete
ALB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Almería56%
Draw22%
Albacete22%
Expected goals
2.06 – 1.25
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.6%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–07.8%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession47%
32%Territory39%
13%From set plays7%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Almería, 3 for Albacete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Albacete
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.