LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
Tenerife
TEN
Eldense
ELD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tenerife43%
Draw28%
Eldense29%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.12
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–09.1%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession55%
31%Territory36%
35%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.12
10.1%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Tenerife, 3 for Eldense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tenerife
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.