LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
Sporting Gijón
SPO
Granada
GRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Gijón42%
Draw29%
Granada29%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.07
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–012.3%
- 0–010.2%
- 0–19.6%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession44%
39%Territory33%
18%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.1%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Gijón, 3 for Granada. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.