LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
Sporting Gijón
SPO
Granada
GRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Gijón47%
Draw27%
Granada26%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.07
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.6%
- 0–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession54%
40%Territory36%
27%From set plays34%
0.14Chance quality0.07
4.8%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Gijón, 3 for Granada. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting Gijón
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.