LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
Sabadell
SAB
Eibar
EIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sabadell36%
Draw27%
Eibar37%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.44
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–18.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession52%
38%Territory44%
35%From set plays29%
0.07Chance quality0.12
7.1%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sabadell, 4 for Eibar. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sabadell
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 129 matches, not the full season.