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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17

Sabadell

SAB

Eibar

EIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sabadell30%
Draw26%
Eibar44%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.59

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.7%
  • 019.3%
  • 129.1%
  • 107.4%
  • 217.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sabadell will have the ball; Eibar will not mind.

43%Possession30%
41%Territory30%
14%From set plays2%
0.13Chance quality0.12
7.8%Directness9.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sabadell, 3 for Eibar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.