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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17

Sabadell

SAB

Eibar

EIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sabadell36%
Draw27%
Eibar37%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.44

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

56%Possession52%
38%Territory44%
35%From set plays29%
0.07Chance quality0.12
7.1%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sabadell, 4 for Eibar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 129 matches, not the full season.