LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
Real Sociedad B
REL
Leganés
LEG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Sociedad B43%
Draw27%
Leganés30%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.22
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.1%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession59%
39%Territory27%
20%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad B, 3 for Leganés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Sociedad B
Leganés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.