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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17

Real Sociedad B

REA

Leganés

LEG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad B41%
Draw27%
Leganés31%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.27

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 109.9%
  • 218.8%
  • 018.3%
  • 007.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leganés will have the ball; Real Sociedad B will not mind.

43%Possession53%
30%Territory35%
15%From set plays5%
0.12Chance quality0.13
7.5%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad B, 3 for Leganés. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.