LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
Girona
GIR
Real Valladolid
REA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Girona52%
Draw25%
Real Valladolid23%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.10
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession58%
38%Territory40%
12%From set plays24%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Girona, 2 for Real Valladolid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 129 matches, not the full season.