LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
Córdoba
CRD
Las Palmas
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Córdoba60%
Draw21%
Las Palmas20%
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.26
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.7%
- 2–07.7%
- 1–07.4%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession46%
37%Territory34%
24%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Córdoba, 3 for Las Palmas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Córdoba
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.