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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17

AD Ceuta FC

ADC

Albacete

ALB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AD Ceuta FC42%
Draw25%
Albacete32%

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.44

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AD Ceuta FC will have the ball; Albacete will not mind.

57%Possession40%
41%Territory37%
42%From set plays38%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.6%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AD Ceuta FC, 3 for Albacete. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.