LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Albacete
ALB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AD Ceuta FC33%
Draw26%
Albacete42%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.60
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–17.6%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AD Ceuta FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession47%
35%Territory39%
40%From set plays7%
0.06Chance quality0.12
3.7%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AD Ceuta FC, 3 for Albacete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Albacete
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.