LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Mallorca
MLL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Fortuna33%
Draw26%
Mallorca41%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.62
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–17.7%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession53%
39%Territory39%
11%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.16
3.8%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Mallorca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.