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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17

Celta Fortuna

CEL

Mallorca

MLL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Fortuna30%
Draw25%
Mallorca45%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.74

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 2–17.2%
  • 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Mallorca get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession53%
36%Territory36%
7%From set plays29%
0.14Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Mallorca. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Celta Fortuna

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.