LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
Castellón
CAS
Almería
ALM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Castellón60%
Draw22%
Almería17%
Expected goals
1.95 – 0.98
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.0%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Castellón will have the ball; Almería will not mind.
57%Possession45%
41%Territory26%
21%From set plays19%
0.14Chance quality0.14
3.2%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 3 for Almería. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 129 matches, not the full season.