LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
Castellón
CAS
Almería
ALM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Castellón63%
Draw19%
Almería17%
Expected goals
2.41 – 1.25
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.4%
- 1–17.9%
- 2–07.7%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Castellón will have the ball; Almería will not mind.
60%Possession52%
46%Territory32%
17%From set plays13%
0.15Chance quality0.10
3.3%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 3 for Almería. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.