LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
Burgos CF
BUR
Cádiz
CDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burgos CF58%
Draw24%
Cádiz18%
Expected goals
1.84 – 0.96
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.8%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession49%
32%Territory31%
10%From set plays24%
0.17Chance quality0.16
6.0%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burgos CF, 3 for Cádiz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.