LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 17
Burgos CF
BUR
Cádiz
CDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burgos CF57%
Draw26%
Cádiz16%
Expected goals
1.58 – 0.75
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.9%
- 2–011.8%
- 1–111.4%
- 0–010.7%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession41%
35%Territory31%
43%From set plays8%
0.11Chance quality0.12
9.7%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burgos CF, 2 for Cádiz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Cádiz
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 129 matches, not the full season.