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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 16

Real Valladolid

REA

Real Sociedad B

REL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Valladolid43%
Draw25%
Real Sociedad B32%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.44

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession52%
37%Territory39%
28%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.4%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Valladolid, 3 for Real Sociedad B. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.