Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 16

Real Oviedo

OVI

Celta Fortuna

CEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Oviedo43%
Draw26%
Celta Fortuna31%

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.38

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celta Fortuna will have the ball; Real Oviedo will not mind.

40%Possession55%
38%Territory39%
37%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Oviedo, 3 for Celta Fortuna. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.