LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 16
Real Oviedo
OVI
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Oviedo54%
Draw23%
Celta Fortuna23%
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.28
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–07.5%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Real Oviedo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession48%
44%Territory36%
35%From set plays6%
0.09Chance quality0.13
5.5%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Oviedo, 3 for Celta Fortuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Oviedo
Celta Fortuna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.