LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 16
Mallorca
MLL
Castellón
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mallorca15%
Draw22%
Castellón63%
Expected goals
0.93 – 2.02
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.2%
- 0–210.7%
- 1–210.0%
- 1–19.8%
- 0–36.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession57%
29%Territory41%
40%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.14
4.3%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Mallorca, 3 for Castellón. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Mallorca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 129 matches, not the full season.