LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 16
Leganés
LEG
Sabadell
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés51%
Draw25%
Sabadell24%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.14
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leganés will have the ball; Sabadell will not mind.
53%Possession43%
35%Territory41%
5%From set plays14%
0.13Chance quality0.13
5.1%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for Sabadell. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.