LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 16
Granada
GRA
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Granada62%
Draw22%
AD Ceuta FC17%
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.99
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.5%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.8%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession49%
36%Territory35%
34%From set plays40%
0.07Chance quality0.06
6.7%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Granada, 3 for AD Ceuta FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.