LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 16
Eldense
ELD
Girona
GIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eldense31%
Draw27%
Girona41%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.46
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Eldense will have the ball; Girona will not mind.
55%Possession47%
36%Territory37%
18%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.2%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eldense, 3 for Girona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.