LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 16
Eldense
ELD
Girona
GIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eldense37%
Draw26%
Girona37%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.50
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession41%
37%Territory25%
15%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.13
6.4%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eldense, 3 for Girona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eldense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.