LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 16
Eibar
EIB
Burgos CF
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eibar43%
Draw28%
Burgos CF29%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.14
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Burgos CF will have the ball; Eibar will not mind.
30%Possession54%
30%Territory32%
2%From set plays10%
0.12Chance quality0.17
9.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eibar, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.