Skip to content

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 16

Eibar

EIB

Burgos CF

BUR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eibar31%
Draw28%
Burgos CF41%

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.39

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–110.9%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Eibar will have the ball; Burgos CF will not mind.

49%Possession40%
41%Territory35%
28%From set plays42%
0.12Chance quality0.11
4.5%Directness9.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eibar, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.