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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 16

Albacete

ALB

Tenerife

TEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Albacete35%
Draw31%
Tenerife34%

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.10

Over 2.5

38%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.5%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–012.2%
  • 0–111.8%
  • 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

40%Possession44%
37%Territory31%
38%From set plays35%
0.07Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness10.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Albacete, 2 for Tenerife. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.