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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 16

Albacete

ALB

Tenerife

TEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Albacete39%
Draw28%
Tenerife33%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.28

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.4%
  • 1010.0%
  • 018.9%
  • 218.6%
  • 008.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tenerife get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

47%Possession45%
39%Territory34%
7%From set plays41%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.4%Directness9.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Albacete, 3 for Tenerife. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Albacete

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.