LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 15
Tenerife
TEN
Mallorca
MLL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tenerife34%
Draw28%
Mallorca37%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.33
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–08.6%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tenerife get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession53%
34%Territory39%
41%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.16
9.1%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tenerife, 3 for Mallorca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.