LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 15
Real Sociedad B
REA
Cádiz
CDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Sociedad B55%
Draw23%
Cádiz21%
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.15
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession49%
30%Territory31%
15%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.16
7.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad B, 3 for Cádiz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.