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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 15

Girona

GIR

Eibar

EIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Girona49%
Draw25%
Eibar27%

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.30

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Eibar get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession49%
38%Territory41%
12%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Girona, 3 for Eibar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.