LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 15
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Almería
ALM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AD Ceuta FC27%
Draw22%
Almería51%
Expected goals
1.57 – 2.15
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
70%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.9%
- 1–18.5%
- 2–26.9%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–36.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AD Ceuta FC will have the ball; Almería will not mind.
57%Possession45%
41%Territory26%
38%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.14
5.3%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AD Ceuta FC, 3 for Almería. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AD Ceuta FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 128 matches, not the full season.