LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 15
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Real Valladolid
REL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Fortuna40%
Draw27%
Real Valladolid33%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.33
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Real Valladolid get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession48%
39%Territory35%
11%From set plays40%
0.10Chance quality0.08
3.8%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Real Valladolid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Valladolid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.