LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 15
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Real Valladolid
REA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Fortuna33%
Draw24%
Real Valladolid43%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.77
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 1–28.7%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Real Valladolid get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession51%
36%Territory37%
7%From set plays28%
0.14Chance quality0.11
4.4%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Real Valladolid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Celta Fortuna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.