LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 15
Castellón
CAS
Eldense
ELD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Castellón71%
Draw18%
Eldense10%
Expected goals
2.22 – 0.76
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.6%
- 1–011.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–08.9%
- 1–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession55%
42%Territory36%
23%From set plays18%
0.14Chance quality0.12
3.1%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 3 for Eldense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.