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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 15

Castellón

CAS

Eldense

ELD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Castellón76%
Draw15%
Eldense9%

Expected goals

2.62 – 0.83

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2011.2%
  • 309.4%
  • 219.0%
  • 108.9%
  • 318.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Castellón will have the ball; Eldense will not mind.

60%Possession45%
46%Territory37%
17%From set plays15%
0.15Chance quality0.08
3.3%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 3 for Eldense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.