LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 15
Burgos CF
BUR
Albacete
ALB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burgos CF57%
Draw24%
Albacete20%
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.04
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.8%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.4%
- 0–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession47%
32%Territory39%
10%From set plays7%
0.17Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burgos CF, 3 for Albacete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Albacete
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.