LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14
Real Valladolid
REL
Castellón
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Valladolid20%
Draw24%
Castellón56%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.86
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.1%
- 1–36.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Castellón will have the ball; Real Valladolid will not mind.
48%Possession60%
35%Territory46%
40%From set plays17%
0.08Chance quality0.15
6.5%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Valladolid, 3 for Castellón. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Valladolid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.