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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14

Real Sociedad B

REA

Sporting Gijón

SPO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad B38%
Draw27%
Sporting Gijón35%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.39

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sporting Gijón will have the ball; Real Sociedad B will not mind.

43%Possession55%
30%Territory40%
15%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.14
7.5%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad B, 3 for Sporting Gijón. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.