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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14

Real Sociedad B

REL

Sporting Gijón

SPO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad B34%
Draw28%
Sporting Gijón38%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.37

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–19.8%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

52%Possession51%
39%Territory39%
20%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad B, 3 for Sporting Gijón. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.