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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14

Real Oviedo

OVI

Girona

GIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Oviedo43%
Draw25%
Girona32%

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.42

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Oviedo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

40%Possession41%
38%Territory25%
37%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.13
6.8%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Oviedo, 3 for Girona. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.