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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14

Real Oviedo

OVI

Girona

GIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Oviedo34%
Draw26%
Girona39%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.53

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 1–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Oviedo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

54%Possession47%
44%Territory37%
35%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Oviedo, 3 for Girona. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.