LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14
Mallorca
MLL
Córdoba
CRD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mallorca50%
Draw23%
Córdoba27%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.47
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–06.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession60%
39%Territory39%
24%From set plays37%
0.16Chance quality0.10
4.4%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mallorca, 3 for Córdoba. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.