LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14
Leganés
LEG
Burgos CF
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés28%
Draw29%
Burgos CF43%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.36
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–112.3%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leganés will have the ball; Burgos CF will not mind.
52%Possession40%
36%Territory35%
21%From set plays42%
0.13Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.