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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14

Leganés

LEG

Burgos CF

BUR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Leganés28%
Draw31%
Burgos CF42%

Expected goals

0.98 – 1.24

Over 2.5

38%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.8%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–012.3%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leganés will have the ball; Burgos CF will not mind.

52%Possession40%
34%Territory35%
10%From set plays42%
0.13Chance quality0.11
7.0%Directness9.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Leganés

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.