LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14
Leganés
LEG
Burgos CF
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés37%
Draw29%
Burgos CF33%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.19
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–110.3%
- 0–09.8%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession54%
35%Territory32%
5%From set plays10%
0.13Chance quality0.17
5.1%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.