LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14
Leganés
LEG
Burgos CF
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés28%
Draw31%
Burgos CF42%
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.24
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.8%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–012.3%
- 1–010.5%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leganés will have the ball; Burgos CF will not mind.
52%Possession40%
34%Territory35%
10%From set plays42%
0.13Chance quality0.11
7.0%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Leganés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.