LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14
Granada
GRA
Las Palmas
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Granada41%
Draw28%
Las Palmas30%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.16
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession51%
36%Territory43%
34%From set plays39%
0.07Chance quality0.08
6.7%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Granada, 3 for Las Palmas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.