LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14
Granada
GRA
Las Palmas
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Granada52%
Draw26%
Las Palmas22%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.00
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.3%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession46%
33%Territory34%
27%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.11
7.9%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Granada, 3 for Las Palmas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.