LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14
Eldense
ELD
Sabadell
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eldense40%
Draw28%
Sabadell32%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.20
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession56%
37%Territory38%
22%From set plays35%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.3%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eldense, 3 for Sabadell. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sabadell
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 129 matches, not the full season.