LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14
Eldense
ELD
Sabadell
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eldense35%
Draw26%
Sabadell39%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.50
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–18.0%
- 1–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession43%
37%Territory41%
15%From set plays14%
0.08Chance quality0.13
6.4%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eldense, 3 for Sabadell. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eldense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.