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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14

Eibar

EIB

Cádiz

CDI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eibar54%
Draw23%
Cádiz22%

Expected goals

1.92 – 1.20

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession41%
44%Territory31%
29%From set plays8%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.9%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Eibar, 2 for Cádiz. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Cádiz

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 129 matches, not the full season.