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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14

Almería

ALM

FC Andorra

FCA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Almería48%
Draw23%
FC Andorra29%

Expected goals

1.92 – 1.49

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.7%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–06.9%
  • 1–26.8%
  • 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Andorra will have the ball; Almería will not mind.

52%Possession72%
32%Territory48%
13%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.3%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Almería, 3 for FC Andorra. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.