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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14

Almería

ALM

FC Andorra

FCA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Almería56%
Draw23%
FC Andorra21%

Expected goals

1.92 – 1.12

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession71%
26%Territory48%
19%From set plays15%
0.14Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Almería, 2 for FC Andorra. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.