LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14
Albacete
ALB
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Albacete43%
Draw25%
Celta Fortuna32%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.44
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–07.8%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession55%
39%Territory39%
7%From set plays11%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.4%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Albacete, 3 for Celta Fortuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Albacete
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.