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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 14

Albacete

ALB

Celta Fortuna

CEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Albacete45%
Draw27%
Celta Fortuna28%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.15

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celta Fortuna will have the ball; Albacete will not mind.

40%Possession48%
37%Territory36%
41%From set plays7%
0.06Chance quality0.14
6.8%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Albacete, 3 for Celta Fortuna. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.