Club Football Intelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 13

Sun, 8 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Sabadell

SAB

14:00 UTC

Real Sociedad B

REA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sabadell37%

Draw25%

Real Sociedad B39%

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.69

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

1–110.2%
1–28.3%
2–18.0%
2–27.0%
0–16.5%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

43%Possession43%

41%Territory30%

14%From set plays15%

0.13Chance quality0.12

7.8%Directness7.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sabadell, 3 for Real Sociedad B. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Sabadell

Nicholas GioacchiniFW3G 0A 1.21/90
Albert OrriolsMF1G 1A 0.67/90
Ton RipollMF0G 1A 0.42/90

Real Sociedad B

Gorka GorosabelMF1G 1A 0.95/90
Dani DíazFW1G 1A 0.79/90
Jon BaldaDF0G 1A 0.50/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.