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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 13

Sabadell

SAB

Real Sociedad B

REL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sabadell39%
Draw29%
Real Sociedad B32%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.19

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 0–19.9%
  • 0–09.4%
  • 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sabadell get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

56%Possession52%
38%Territory39%
35%From set plays20%
0.07Chance quality0.10
7.1%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sabadell, 3 for Real Sociedad B. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.