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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 13

Las Palmas

LAS

Eldense

ELD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Las Palmas42%
Draw26%
Eldense32%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.36

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Eldense will have the ball; Las Palmas will not mind.

46%Possession55%
34%Territory36%
12%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Las Palmas, 3 for Eldense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 129 matches, not the full season.