LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 13
Leganés
LEG
Albacete
ALB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés46%
Draw28%
Albacete25%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.02
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession40%
34%Territory37%
13%From set plays38%
0.14Chance quality0.07
7.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Leganés, 3 for Albacete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Leganés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 129 matches, not the full season.