LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 13
Leganés
LEG
Albacete
ALB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés52%
Draw26%
Albacete22%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.03
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.9%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession47%
35%Territory39%
5%From set plays7%
0.13Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for Albacete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Albacete
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.