LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 13
Granada
GRA
Tenerife
TEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Granada49%
Draw28%
Tenerife22%
Expected goals
1.43 – 0.90
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–010.8%
- 2–09.5%
- 2–19.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession43%
33%Territory34%
27%From set plays37%
0.12Chance quality0.09
7.9%Directness9.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Granada, 3 for Tenerife. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tenerife
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 129 matches, not the full season.