LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 13
Girona
GIR
Almería
ALM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Girona33%
Draw23%
Almería44%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.90
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.4%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Almería will have the ball; Girona will not mind.
41%Possession52%
25%Territory32%
21%From set plays13%
0.13Chance quality0.10
7.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Girona, 3 for Almería. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.