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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 13

Castellón

CAS

Eibar

EIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Castellón69%
Draw19%
Eibar13%

Expected goals

2.31 – 0.93

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.6%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 1–18.4%
  • 3–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Castellón will have the ball; Eibar will not mind.

57%Possession49%
42%Territory41%
23%From set plays28%
0.14Chance quality0.12
3.1%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 3 for Eibar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.