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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 13

Cádiz

CDI

Real Oviedo

OVI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cádiz38%
Draw26%
Real Oviedo36%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.46

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

41%Possession49%
31%Territory44%
8%From set plays41%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.1%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Cádiz, 3 for Real Oviedo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Cádiz

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 129 matches, not the full season.