LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 13
Burgos CF
BUR
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burgos CF58%
Draw23%
Celta Fortuna20%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.12
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–08.8%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession55%
32%Territory39%
10%From set plays11%
0.17Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burgos CF, 3 for Celta Fortuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.