LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 13
Burgos CF
BUR
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burgos CF63%
Draw23%
Celta Fortuna14%
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.76
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 2–012.3%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Burgos CF get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
40%Possession48%
35%Territory36%
42%From set plays6%
0.11Chance quality0.13
9.7%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burgos CF, 3 for Celta Fortuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Celta Fortuna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.