LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 12
Real Valladolid
REA
Leganés
LEG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Valladolid48%
Draw26%
Leganés27%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.22
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession47%
37%Territory34%
26%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.14
6.0%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Valladolid, 2 for Leganés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Valladolid
Leganés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 128 matches, not the full season.