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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 12

Real Valladolid

REL

Leganés

LEG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Valladolid34%
Draw31%
Leganés36%

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.17

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.4%
  • 0111.9%
  • 0011.4%
  • 1011.4%
  • 127.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Valladolid get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession53%
35%Territory35%
40%From set plays5%
0.08Chance quality0.13
6.5%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Valladolid, 3 for Leganés. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Real Valladolid

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.