LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 12
Real Valladolid
REA
Leganés
LEG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Valladolid41%
Draw27%
Leganés32%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.30
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession47%
40%Territory34%
24%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.14
5.1%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Real Valladolid, 2 for Leganés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Valladolid
Leganés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 129 matches, not the full season.