LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 12
Real Sociedad B
REA
Girona
GIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Sociedad B55%
Draw22%
Girona23%
Expected goals
2.12 – 1.38
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.4%
- 1–19.1%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–06.8%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession41%
30%Territory25%
15%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.13
7.5%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad B, 3 for Girona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.