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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 12

Real Oviedo

OVI

Las Palmas

LAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Oviedo34%
Draw29%
Las Palmas37%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.32

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.8%
  • 0110.3%
  • 109.8%
  • 008.8%
  • 128.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Las Palmas will have the ball; Real Oviedo will not mind.

40%Possession51%
38%Territory43%
37%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Oviedo, 3 for Las Palmas. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.