LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 12
Real Oviedo
OVI
Las Palmas
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Oviedo53%
Draw23%
Las Palmas23%
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.25
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession46%
44%Territory34%
41%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.1%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Oviedo, 2 for Las Palmas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Oviedo
Las Palmas
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 128 matches, not the full season.